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Predictions on Kansas City Chiefs Final Cuts to 2007 53-Man Roster Tomorrow, 1 Sep
«
Kansas City Chiefs
»
Cuts:
Brad Ekwerekwu
Bobby Sippio
Jeff Terrell
James Newby
Marcus O'Keith
Gilbert Harris
Marlon Fair
Kiki Gonzalez
Patrice Majondo-Mwamba
Keith Willis
Ean Randolph
Justin Phinisee
Nick Reid
Montez Murphy
Derrick Ross
Rob Hunt
Michael Heard
*William Poole
*Kendrell Bell
*Chad Williams
*Samie Parker
I will assume that Priest Holmes will be on the PUP list for 6 weeks, or unless one of our RBs goes on the IR. Thus, we only need to cut 21. To tell the truth, signing of Eddie Drummond made things much simpler to figure out. It was no longer a question of which possible return man between Randolph and Phinisee could help more in other areas, or might force the cutting of another talented youngster with potential to make room. Both or either might make the practice squad, but I doubt it. Cutting both Bober (IR) and Sampson made the O-line situation more clear, as well, making it easier to keep Chris Terry, Tre Stallings (who has reportedly improved this off-season), and Herb Taylor (who would be a risky cut, because he seems to have a possible future with the team).
Not having to leave room for Priest Holmes also freed up a spot. I was able to keep 7 LBs, which makes it possible to keep both Rich Scanlon and Nate Harris. Be warned, however, that my LB predictions are likely to be wrong: I insist we cut Kendrell Bell, but the KC staff inexplicably seems to want to keep him. Why they do is beyond me, but I gotta go with my gut that he should be out of there. When all was said and done I still had only 52 total players. I considered going with 5 Safeties like Herm Edwards said they were considering, I considered going with another WR (and couldnt decide between Sippio and Ekwerekwu), but finally decided that Jason Dunn will get at least the first part of the season to demonstrate his skills havent declined significantly. If he shows deterioration, however, I expect the Chiefs will cut him to activate Priest, or perhaps a WR from the practice squad. If the coaches decide Dunn is too far on the downslope of his career/abilities, we may grab a promising practice squad player from another team to develop on our active roster.
I also think I might be wrong about Samie Parker. I cannot see any evidence that he deserves a roster spot, much less a starter position, but hes hung on this long, the coaches might let him stay. The only point in his favor is that no one else has really made a strong enough case to take away his spot on the roster.
Specialists: K, P, LS, PR/KR: 4
Justin Medlock, Dustin Colquitt, Jean-Phillipe Darche, Eddie Drummond
O-line: 10
Damion McIntosh, Brian Waters, Casey Wiegmann, John Welbourn, Kyle Turley
Will Svitek, Herb Taylor, Rudy Niswanger, Tre Stallings, Chris Terry
QB: 3
Damon Huard, Brodie Croyle, Casey Printers
RB: 3
Larry Johnson, Michael Bennett, Kolby Smith
FB: 2
Kris Wilson, Boomer Grigsby
TE: 3
Tony Gonzalez, Jason Dunn, Michael Allen
WR: 4
Eddie Kennison, Dwayne Bowe, Jeff Webb, Chris Hannon
Offense= 25
Specialists=4
D-line: 8
Jared Allen, Alfonso Boone, Ron Edwards, Tamba Hali
Turk McBride (DE/DT), Tank Tyler (DT) , James Reed (DT), Jimmy Wilkerson (DE/DT)
LB: 7
Derrick Johnson, Napoleon Harris, Donnie Edwards
Rich Scanlon, William Kershaw, Keyaron Fox
Nate Harris
S: 4
Jarrad Page, Bernard Pollard, Greg Wesley, John McGraw
CB: 5
Ty Law, Patrick Surtain, Benny Sapp, Tyron Brackenridge, Dimitri Patterson
Defense=24
25++4+24=
= 53
Herm indicated that he might keep 5 safeties. I havent seen anything decent from Chad Williams, so that implies that Marlon Fair might be doing okay. If so, hes a candidate for the Practice Squad. Jeff Terrell has done a decent job against his fellow scrubs, so I think he gets a chance to keep working on his throwing mechanics and decision-making with the team. None of our WRs has really stepped up and grabbed their position, so the two bubble guys (Ek and Sip, both of whom have been buried on the depth chart due to early preseason injury and absence, respectively). Im not sure both make the squad; if they both do, one may be grabbed to make another teams active roster. Gilbert Harris will likely make the practice squad so he can remain familiar with the teams offense, and perhaps improve his lead-blocking abilities, just in case he can or is needed to replace Grigsby later in the season. Newby, OKeith, and Gonzalez all had moments of competence that might make them worth keeping around, but none have any real chance of displacing anyone ahead of them on the depth chart this year.
Practice Squad:
Brad Ekwerekwu, WR
Bobby Sippio, WR
Jeff Terrell, QB
Marlon Fair, S
Gilbert Harris, FB
James Newby, T
Marcus OKeith, RB (tie)
Kiki Gonzalez, DT (tie)
Couldn't agree more with JGunn, Croyle has shown only confusion in and out of the pocket. He may have the proverbial good arm, but a gun without a direction still won't hit the target. He needs to go!!! Sippio showed good signs of being the quick slant receiver we have seemed to have forgotten about. Seems like a guy named Rice made a good living catching quick slant passes.
I wouldn't say that Croyle is awful. He's had some good moments, in camp, in scrimmage, and in preseason games.
I just think he needs more time on the bench. It took Brees 2 full years of starting even after 1 year on the bench before he blossomed into a top QB his 4th year. Croyle could easily be the same way...he's got the physical and leadership skills. He just needs more time to get used to NFL speed.
The Chiefs let go of a valuable young player, safety Marlon Fair from Hampton University. This guy has great potential and hopefully he would be added to the practice squad today, because in my opinion this kid has what it takes to go far in the NFL.
Marcus O'Keith is also another guy the Chiefs let go of, that hopefully will make the practice squad. He like Marlon Fair has great athletic ability and would be a great addition to the team's practice squad. O'Keith got quite a few yards in during the pre-season and Fair had some good hard hitting tackles. Hopefully, the Chiefs won't sleep too long on these two players, because they need them on their practice squad.
I agree with you about O'Keith. I would prefer him to Ross, actually, because it seems like he has the same upside in power/speed/inexpensiveness, but without the fumbling problem Ross brings.
I don't know anything about Fair. I don't watch college football, because there are just too many teams, too many places, and I move every 3 years or so with the military (making it harder to follow one team, or even one conference). So I don't get to know the players until they become Chiefs. I didn't see Fair do much during the preseason, never heard his name called for big hits or causing turnovers, but I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt because he's young.
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Q: Your business model also requires passengers to pay for any extrasdrinks, blanketspiecemeal. Will consumers go for that?
A: They were paying for it before! Those were never free. Why should you be made to pay for all those sodas and blankets that other people use that you don't?
Q: You're even charging for checked luggage, $5 a bag.
A: If you don't check a bag, why should you pay for those who do? We make our prices very clear, so we've had very few complaints. If you pay $80 for a Skybus flight instead of $180 for the competitor's flight, and you pay $5 for a bag and $2 for a soda, that's $87 versus $180. America can do that much math.
I, indeed, can do the math.
And I like the idea, basically. I could pack lighter to save money. I agree that it is often transfers and the hub system are HUGE parts of what makes flying so expensive and such a hassle, and this airline will try to avoid them. Basically taking the best of Southwest Airlines' model, and going farther.
One thing that gives me pause is that I'd want to see a sufficiently-long safety track record, first. I'd hate to assume that an airline that cuts corners on service to lower costs might also cut corners on maintenance... But I'd also hate to pay for a $40 savings with my life.
We'll see how it goes. Southwest Airlines has an excellent safety record.
My concern is the same as Jeremy's. When I first heard about this company several months ago, I was really excited. Perusal of their website reflected I could get from the "Seattle area" to Ohio for $50, and I figured I could get a rental car and drive from Ohio to Ky. For the "getting there" portion, I could either spend one day driving or hop a prop to SeaTac. Well, turns out they fly out of Bellingham, which would add hours to my drive, as it is nowhere near Seattle. :(
Oh well, it's an awesome option for those who live near the airports they fly out of.
Southwest keeps an outstanding safety record because they fly only one type of airplane (737's). Pilots only have to be trained for one type, mechanics only have to work on one type, and all spare parts are for only one type. Cuts down on costs, too.
AirTran seems to be another reliable, safe budget airline. Since the debacle of their ValueJet days they've dramatically cleaned up their act with new management, new airplanes, new attitudes, and a new name.
posted by diamond dave on September 3, 2007 06:32 AM
I'm going to count IR as a cut, since they won't play a down for us this year.
Thus, my list was (actual cuts in bold): Michael Bragg
Marcus Maxey
David Hicks
Brian Crum
Michael Heard Chris Harris
Greg Hanoian
Derrick Ross Maurice Price
Brent Little
Titus Ryan
Mike Pinkard
George Batiste
Rob Hunt
So four guys (Hunt, Heard, Ross, and Crum) are still hanging around for at least another week.
The surprise cuts?
Sampson, a former starter
Bober, a versatile backup, top back up for at least 3 spots last year
Gardner, a former #1 pick, but not a big surprise as I had him getting cut by the 1st...
Pruneda, also not a big surprise, as I had him not making it past the next round, anyway...
Still, having both Bober and Sampson out of the running for the O-line frees up two more slots on the O-line. It makes it look like Chris Terry is a lock...but I'm not so sure. It also seems like it ensures Herb Taylor makes the final 53. I'll have a full re-assessment of the 1 Sep cuts and the final 53 roster soon.
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Well, either [Republicans are] more likely to do [the things that create sex scandals], or more likely to get caught in ways that become public. Which is it?
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My husband told me that I should understand why his temper is not good, because others cant screw up him, but my temper is good, and others always screw me. It seems what he said make sense? What do you guys think? Honestly in China people are nice and easy to get along with, and others usually take advantage of their nice. Americans are the same??
Your husband's way is one way to get things done.
But we call it "burning bridges". If you ever watched "tongji miyou" (Fighting for Love) with Zheng Xiuwen and Tony Liang Qiaowei (I think that's the pinying), Zheng Xiuwen gets things done by treating her employees really bad, but then when she needs help, they refuse because they hate her.
If you need to get things done, there are two things you can do:
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Be calm, patient, and reasonable.
2) If they refuse, then ask to speak to the customer service representative's supervisor. They usually cannot refuse. Due the same thing with supervisor, i.e, explain what happened, what you want, and why they should give it to you. If the supervisor refuses, then ask to speak to [i]their[/i] supervisor, then do the same thing.
If you go all the way up really high, you can usually find someone who can help.
3) At whatever level you get stuck, meaning they won't agree to what you want, and they won't let you speak to their supervisor, then ask them to slowly explain exactly why they refuse, because you will send a letter explaining exactly what you want, why, and why they refuse to the Better Business Bureau, the local Chamber of Commerce, and the consumer protection/investigation division of the largest television and newspapers in the region.
If that still doesn't work, you use your final weapon:
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First, he was one (like me) who never gave up belief that we'd win in Iraq. Second, I found this via a link from Instapundit.
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Horrible Loss to the Saints in the Chiefs' 3rd Preseason Game
«
Kansas City Chiefs
»
Yeah, it sucked.
Our heir-apparent QB was 5 of 17 for 45 yards. That's scary-bad.
Our LT of the Future (Svitek) was starting for our injured FA pickup starter (MacIntosh) and did a bad job (helping Brodie attain that atrocious completion percentage).
I'm not happy, no. I'd like for us to go out and have Croyle lead us to 4 TDs in his first 4 series.
And I'm slightly worried, yes.
But nothing counts yet. We've seen teams that looked horrible in the pre-season win the Super Bowl. And teams that have done great in the pre-season have had losing seasons.
Our horrible offensive production worries me, it truly does.
But I'm NOT proclaiming gloom and doom unless we get blown out in our first 3 games.
The thing is, this was preseason. The game doesn't count. The stats aren't entered in any record book. Preseason games are approached very differently than regular season games.
From what I hear:
We ran only one running play. We ran only one coverage scheme on defense, and didn't use stunts or blitzes to get pressure. We didn't use any (much?) of our multiple shifts that get us the favorabel mis-matches in the passing game.
Moreover, we were evaluating lots of players on the bubble. Phinisee got some time with the first-team defense, likely evaluating whether he can contribute outside the return game or not (meaning that he may make the team rather than Ean Randolph, contrary to my prediction in the roster cut-down post; I can live with being wrong on that; moreover, while Randolph still has a significantly better PR average, Phinisee has moved significantly to the lead in KR average).
We know:
1) Our starting, pro-bowl running back did not play
2) We have played 3 games that don't count
3) We got some good evaluation data on how players perform in a game situation (i.e., it looks like Phinisee got some reps with the first team to see if he might be able to do more than just PR/KR)
4) We have not played well on offense in 3 games
5) Our defense has done quite well despite playing only one coverage set
6) We can't do much without our pre-snap shifts to cause mis-matches
7) Our currently starting LT isn't starter-level yet
8) Our defense will be good
9) Improving on paper is not the same as improving on the field....HOWEVER:
10) Sucking in pre-season is not the same as sucking in the regular season
11) We plugged alot of holes with youth; youth makes mistakes...but it can improve from those mistakes. Old players can get old during a season, and get injured more. Having a young team is painful at times, but far better for playoff chances
12) If we don't challenge for the playoffs this year, the experience we get + another draft focused on the O-line (or maybe another FA LT) will make us a strong contender in 2008
13) Surprise! We may have decent depth at CB (more clear in the first two games than against NO)
14) Our defense is best in the Red Zone (when it counts, actually). We aren't giving up long scores, and we can shut down even the best offenses with our base scheme once we have the goalline at our back.
I am on record for saying our offense will be at least #12 in scoring. I made that prediction after the 2nd pre-season game, but even though the game against the Saints makes me feel nervous and sheepish about it, I'm not going to back away from it just because of one horrible game. You can't let one data point shake your analysis.
So I reiterate:
By the end of the year, the Chiefs will be top-10 in yardage and scoring defense, and at least #8 in yardage defense. The offense will be at least #12 in scoring (at about 22 points/game), and probably around #16 in yardage (more scoring from a strong running game than passing).
I stand by it. Don't worry, we'll make the playoffs. Or we might go 4-12. But there's no reason to jump off the bandwagon for any one bad game, and especially not any one bad pre-season game (even if the offensive trends look scary).
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Do these things and give yourself a 10% pay raise! Stop wasting your own cash on heating/cooling!!!
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You have to scroll down quite a bit (or use the edit function searching for "Elway") to find it, but John coaching for his son's team is a return to the past: John's dad, Jack, was a high school football coach at the school John attended. The wording of the article doesn't make it completely clear if their presences were concurrent.
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DPP's Political Advantage Does NOT Equal Democracy
«
China/Taiwan
»
I've already established I don't agree with Michael Turton's politics.
Fine. We can disagree and not hate each other.
But he objected previously to my assertion that pro-Green pundits conflate independence, DPP interests, and democracy. Well, here is a good example. You'll have to scroll down to see what I mean, so here is a blockquote:
Finally, State thinks that Taiwan will be "emboldened" by military sales. To do what? Have more democracy? Note that we have a coalition of more than 20 pro-Taiwan groups pushing the referendums and wanting to overturn the referendum law, and that this referendum move is taking place without any reference to the military situation. The public wants to enter the UN. If State really thinks that the referendum is going to cause a problem, it needs to pull its head out and make sure that Taipei is adequately armed to protect itself -- because the referendum isn't going to be stopped. The DPP can't call it off now, not without taking a hit in the polls. I know its insane to call for diplomats to recognize reality, especially in the Taiwan case, but perhaps State needs to adjust its thinking to the situation on the ground....and, as always, observe the unbalanced State Department view: arms sales embolden Taipei -- but failure to sell arms doesn't embolden Beijing. Once again, we have that lurking Beijing-think, where democracy is a problem, but weapons buildups in China are a force for stability.
Let me take those point-by-point:
1) "Finally, State thinks that Taiwan will be "emboldened" by military sales. To do what? Have more democracy?"
Well, there it is, a perfect example. I don't want to lapse into insults, but I'm tempted here. Democracy is not the problem, was never the problem, and it is disingenuous or perhaps even invidious to imply so. No, the problem is declaring independence. In other words, the problem is Taiwan sticking a thumb in the PRC's eye to no real benefit. No one stops Taiwan from writing its own laws, voting for its leaders, throwing said leaders in jail for corruption, etc. Taiwan abrogated its responsibility in defending itself a long time ago, choosing (although with little other choice) to depend on the U.S. for its defense. Thus, if Taiwan provokes the PRC into an invasion, Taiwan will do so depending on the U.S. to come and defend it. Got that? U.S. lives will be lost to defend Taiwan, which elected a President who appeared to not care about defending the country for the first 7 years of Chen Shui-bian's presidency. Don't try to shift the argument to "defending democracy", because the fact that Taiwan has already had free elections proves that the U.S. has already successfully defended democracy in Taiwan. If the U.S. has to fight to preserve that democracy, it is simply because Chen Shui-bian and/or the DPP decided to risk that democratic freedom by provoking China for its own domestic political purposes. I don't blame Chen for attempting to use an advantage...but to claim that risking U.S. lives to establish Chen's legacy of the Father of Independence and/or help him avoid jail is "more democracy" is just ridiculous.
2) "Note that we have a coalition of more than 20 pro-Taiwan groups pushing the referendums and wanting to overturn the referendum law, and that this referendum move is taking place without any reference to the military situation. The public wants to enter the UN."
There was a coalition that pushed for Chen Shui-bian to step down, too. The "public" that wants to enter the UN (as evidenced by the referendum petition) was approximately the same number as the "public" that wanted Chen to step down (more than 1 million). Why is one group "democracy", but the other group just "thugs"? If Chen listens to the voices of the people, why does he only listen to the ones that tell him to do what he already wants to do? Whither democracy when it is anti-Chen?
3) "The DPP can't call it off now, not without taking a hit in the polls."
And there is my second point, in black and white. Even if the referendum might spark a war, even though Chen Shui-bian can't back up his bravado because he let the arms procurement bill languish throughout his entire first term, the DPP can't do what's right for the country because they are too busy doing what is right for themselves. And before anyone tries to move the goalposts again: no, a DPP victory isn't automatically "right for the country". "Right for the country" is preserving peace and democracy. Both of which Taiwan has right now as a direct extension of the Peace and Democracy they had before Chen was elected. He hasn't done a single thing to expand those two blessings, but he has done plenty to threaten them.
Chen doesn't know what side of his bread is buttered. He causes significant problems for the U.S. for his own political purposes, and then has Pan-Green adherents confusing independence and democracy and DPP electoral advantage to help obfuscate the fact that Chen has no right to drag his nation or the U.S. into a war simply for his own political benefit.
No, Taiwan doesn't deserve to be invaded and forced to be part of the PRC. But they aren't part of the PRC now, and they have full democracy. What, exactly, is Chen Shui-bian trying to change? When you already have what you want, any change just makes things worse. Thus, independence and full democracy are not what Chen truly wants. He wants the legacy of being the Father of Taiwan Independence, the primacy of the Min-Nan ethnic group over all others, and to avoid jail for his illegal enriching of all his associates.
Sometimes he has a little too much market stuff...they all blend together. I'd love to see some more east Taiwan coast and/or mountain scenic beauty. But his skill is obvious, and the clarity and vibrancy of his photos always impress me.
Now I'm going to tear apart one of his blog posts in my next entry (sorry, Michael!).
Taiwan is a Part of China...Just Not Part of the PRC
«
China/Taiwan
»
Should I link the original article? Well, the main point of it is to blame China for something (pollution) that Taiwan already does to itself quite well (Damn those mainland Chinese, sneaking in and poisoning all of Taiwan's rivers!)...but the issue I want to respond to is at the bottom. Maybe easier if I link to the post that highlights the issue the raises my dander:
Reunification? [emphasis in original] For once, I would like to read an article that says, "China says the island is a breakaway province, but the PRC flag has never flown over the island." I bet we would start seeing a significant change in the way people view Taiwan if these two little paragraphs that are in nearly every article about Taiwan were more accurate. Making clear that, yes, China does claim sovereignty over Taiwan, but there's no talk of "reunification" -- only unification -- seeing as the PRC never controlled (to my knowledge) any part of Taiwan. Also, Nationalist forces fleeing to Taiwan does not divide Taiwan from "the Mainland," seeing as there were already people on Taiwan before these outside forces came to Taiwan.
To be fair, I get tired of the cut'n'paste journalism standard over-simplification of the cross-Strait issue, too. And it could be worded better.
But it doesn't help when the Taiwan side distorts the issue for their own purposes.
1) PRC does not equal China. The PRC is just the latest in a series of dynasties. China did not end when the Ming dynasty fell. China did not begin when Qin Shi Huang unified the Empire. Taiwan was not a part of the Empire at that time, but was during the Ming and Qing dynasties. The Taiwan independence movement cites the surrendering of Taiwan to Japan as fact, so I think it can be accepted: Taiwan was once a part of China.
2) The PRC government is aware of all this. They do not claim sovereignty over Taiwan. I challenge anyone to find me an official statement that claims such sovereignty.
3) Read the opening line of <>: "The Empire, long divided, must unite: long united, must divide." In Chinese history, what happens when the divided Empire unites? Most of the time, a new dynasty is formed. What happens when the Empire is divided? Competing nations squabble. The PRC would like for Taiwan to unite under the PRC governance, but that isn't what they are insisting on. They are pushing for an acknowledgement that Taiwan is Chinese.
4) Walk into any Taiwanese bookstore or DVD shop and look in the history section. Do you find books/movies like <>? <>? Poetry by Su Dongpo and Li Bai (Li Bo)? Is Lu Xun part of the national history? Why are mainland China treasures in the National Museum in Taiwan? What is the origin of the main language spoken in Taiwan? What is the origin of the 2nd most common language spoken in Taiwan? What isthe origin of the 3rd most common language spoken in Taiwan? (hint: if you guessed "mainland China" for all three of the language questions, you win!)
5) There were people already on the island when the mainlander KMT fled there in 1949. Which identity group is pointing that out? A mainlander group that fled there and took control when people were already there. If the mainlander, mandarin-speaking KMT descendents have no place in Taiwan, than neither do the Min-nan or Hakka. You won't see Chen Shui-bian apologizing and moving back to Fujian Province anytime soon and leaving Taiwan to the aborigines, will you?
6) Even though there were people already on the island when the mainlander KMT fled there in 1949, who was in charge of the island after the Japanese left until 1949? Why, I think...I think...it was the KMT!! So the people in charge of the island before the flight were the same government that fled there. The government that was in charge over all of China (including Mongolia, Tibet, Xinjiang, and Taiwan) contracted and withdrew, maintaining control over a smaller portion of what it once held...not staking a new claim over territory that was not under current control. Thus, nationalist China included all the mainland and Taiwan in 1946, but by the end of 1949, China was divided into Communist and Nationalist camps...but both were still part of China.
Bottom line: Taiwan independence advocates claiming that Taiwan is not a part of China because the PRC has never controlled Taiwan are using a straw-man argument.
No one in the Taiwan government may have agreed to the 1992 "Consensus", but that lack of agreement seems to be based on a misunderstanding of the PRC position. In my more cynical moments, I believe that misunderstanding is a deliberate political ploy.
UPDATE: As best as I can recall, in the history of mankind, no geo-cultural entity has ever split from a larger geo-cultural entity without either: 1) war, or 2) the popular consent of the entire geo-cultural entity.
...which does not mean the Taiwanese people should have to undergo a military invasion from mainland China. The tragedy is that an avoidable war is looming because a small group sees a domestic political advantage in provocation, and all for the demonstrated purpose of merely becoming the recipient of widespread graft.
The comments are interesting, too; someone tries to suggest that "success" of companies can be measured in "harmony" rather than "aggression". Which totally ignores that a company's success is quite simply expressed in its profit.
Activists: can't win? Change the definition to suit your argument.
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Just imagine the reverse situation of this, i.e., Republican Congress sub-peonas the heck out of a Democrat President, affecting policy, and thus doesn't pass very much legislation. You can bet they'd be raked over the coals by the media about violating the separation of powers, betraying checks and balances, trying to push the executive branch under the control of the legislative, etc.
But since it is Democrats investigating a Republican Administration? We get vague approval, with the only three examples given all one-sidedly emphasizing a Democrat talking point.
Here's the thing: wasting money is like a pay cut. If you don't waste money on a regular basis, it is like a pay raise.
If you make sure you don't pay interest (on anything but your mortgage...a house is nearly impossible to pay for all at once), it's like giving yourself somewhere between a 5 and 10% pay raise.
Most people pay between 11 and 19% on credit card interest. That's huge. And don't get sucked in by the 0% interest balance transfers: they usually have a transfer fee that means you pay 3% up front; it might be worth it, if you do the math...but better to not have the debt at all.
Yes, that means you shouldn't pay interest on a car, either. Particularly since a car's value depreciates, it just isn't worth it. If you purchase a new car for $15,000, even at 5% interest you'll be wasting almost $2k over 5 years. Obviously, it's even more if you buy a more expensive car, or if you extend the loan to 6 years, or can't get 5% interest.
You don't have to buy a new car anymore to get reliable, fuel-efficient transportation. Cars last longer; 100k is no longer an automatic death for any brand except maybe Kia (and I might be slandering them...Hyundai has excellent quality control these days).
I can afford to pay cash for a Lexus, Acura, or BMW right now. But I drive a '99 Toyota Corolla and an '01 Chevy Prizm. Why? Because neither of them have given me a lick of trouble in more than a year. The Prizm has nearly 100k miles on it, but I am confident I can drive it up to 150k without a hiccup. I plan on driving it into the ground, because when you get right down to it, it transports 4-5 people to a destination in comfort, safety and convenience. Isn't that all you need from a car? Why waste the money on new car payments and interest to get essentially the same function?
That money adds up.
But, as always: you get what you pay for. I do not wish to disparage those who value the enjoyment of the bar experience, who savor their Starbucks Coffee (I think it tastes burnt, personally), who value getting the latest and greatest car at their earliest possibility (I, too, have purchased new cars...but regretted almost every time). Some people like to purchase what they can afford at the earliest opportunity. Patience pays, but we all make our own decisions and live with the consequences. I just like to clarify what those consequences are, exactly.
My Lucky 8-Ball doesn't have an "NFL Roster" setting. I thought about coin flips, but couldn't find any coins with Justin Phinisee on one side and Ean Randolph on the other. My Ouija Board froze up trying to spell Ekwerekwu. All my normal sources for figuring out the future Chiefs roster failed to come through for me, so you are stuck with my SWAGs. Which, as you know, are my Stupid Wild-A$$ Guesses. Provided for entertainment purposes only, not as a source for gambling. And, as always, all predictions 100% or your money back! (money paid directly to me, that is...)
Roster Cut-down to 75 on 28 August:
Must cut: 14
Michael Bragg: There are too many other young, improving CBs to give Bragg another year
Marcus Maxey: Maxey never stepped up his game to make the roster
David Hicks: Too many other undrafted LBs trying to make the roster, the 4th-string will be first too go
Brian Crum: Ditto
Michael Heard: Ditto, D-line edition
Chris Harris: I've never heard his name called for anything
Greg Hanoian: He might be good, but he's injured; you can't make the club in the tub. Of all the early cuts, Hanoian is the one who I think has the best chance of proving me wrong and hanging on to make the team. If not, he may have the best chance to make the practice squad. But he just hasn't shown enough to keep around when we already have 3 healthy FBs in Wilson, Boomer, and G. Harris
Derrick Ross: He may be a controversial cut; he doesn't run any better than anyone else, but we know what he can do better than anyone else, i.e., fumble
Maurice Price: We'll cut all the 6th-string WRs first
Brent Little: Another WR buried on the depth chart
Titus Ryan: I've never heard his name called
Mike Pinkard: There are enough other TEs in camp, Pinkard doesn't help much
George Batiste: 3rd-string guards are not that hard to find; in a pinch, you slide a back-up tackle over
Rob Hunt: 3rd-string centers are about the same; we still have Bober who can play both guard and center at a better level than Hunt
Roster Cut-down to 53 on 1 Sept:
Must cut: 22
This is more difficult to predict, as we still have a few more games to weed out the players who will stick from those to be cut. But this represents my best guesses, at this point. I'll revise this list after seeing the 28 August cut-down, of course. The top six are my best predictions for the practice squad, as well. The ones with asterisks are the veterans whose stock is dropping due to decent play by youngsters with more upside; but the veterans make the team if Edwards decides to go with experience rather than potential. Or another way of thinking of it is: if anyone I have scheduled for the 53-man roster goes on the PUP or IR lists, it will likely be one of the veterans who remains on the roster before a Practice Squad youngster. This is simply due to the exact purpose of the Practice Squad; these young guys aren't ready to contribute, but could help out later in the year or next year. Thus, you want the youngsters to practice with the team and learn as much as possible, so as to replace an underperforming or injured player. With the youth and question marks along the O-line, D-line, RB, and WR, these are the guys you definitely want to keep around. But if a vet can't be in the top 53, there's nothing you can do but cut 'em.
Without further ado, these are my early predictions for the 2nd round of cuts:
Herb Taylor
Patrice Majondo-Mwamba
Marcus O'Keith
Brad Ekwerekwu
Nate Harris
Keith Willis
Jeff Terrell
Ramiro Pruneda
Montez Murphy
Nick Reid
Justin Phinisee
*Jason Dunn (retire, back problems)
*Rod Gardner
*William Poole
*Kendrell Bell
*Chris Terry
*Samie Parker
Kiki Gonzalez
Marlon Fair
Chad Williams
Bobby Sippio
James Newby
Obviously, whoever is left makes the team. Perhaps controversially, I predict Priest Holmes will make the team, because he could be extremely useful as an effective 3rd down back, as well as on screens. If he can play at 80% of the level he did in 2004 and 2005 before being injured, he's worthwhile to make the team.
Another controversy is that I have Jason Dunn being cut. I know it isn't a popular move, but he has had bad knees for years; now he's missed half of camp with a bad back, after missing our last few games last year for the same reason. Some have said he walks like an old man, and looks finished. Then again, reports state Dunn is off the PUP and has begun participating in full contact drills now. This may mean he makes the team, but I think this is a perfect example of what Herm should do with his youth movement philosophy: Dunn is not the future, he might not last the year, and it might well be better to let a young player take his responsibilities. Michael Allen is a big, strong TE who has been working on his blocking, but is more of a threat in the passing game than Dunn can be anymore. Both Allen and Grigsby are young enough to be with the team for years if they can learn to block well. From all reports I've heard, both are doing quite well...although not up to the level of a healthy Dunn yet. And that's the problem, isn't it? Dunn is at the age and has taken the abuse that his continued health is probably unlikely. But if Priest is cut or put on the PUP, there's room to take a chance on Dunn for the first few weeks, at least.
Another decision I argued with myself was who would get the PR/KR position. Webb has done fine returning kicks, but the Chiefs have let Phinisee and Randolph compete there, as well. Both the CB and WR have a good KR average, but Randolph's PR average is three times that of Phinisee. Moreover, keeping Phinisee means either keeping six CBs or having to cut Brackenridge, Patterson, or Sapp...all of whom are playing more and better than Phinisee. Much the same is true of Randolph (either keep six WRs or have to cut both Ekwerekwu and Gardner), but Randolph has made some good plays in camp at times, and may well help us at some point this year in the passing game. But in even if he doesn't, if you are going to use a roster spot on a PR, you might as well choose the one with the better PR average.
Final thought: I have the Chiefs keeping 10 O-linemen, 4 RBs, and 2 FBs (in addition to countin Wilson as a TE), but only 6 LBs. We have kept 7 LBs and only 3 RBs for the last several seasons, not to mention usually having only one FB; the Chiefs may decide to keep one less at any one of those positions so as to keep Nate Harris on the roster.
Final Roster:
Specialists: K, P, LS: 3
Medlock, Colquitt, Darche
O-line: 10
McIntosh, Waters, Wiegmann, Welbourn, Turley
Svitek, Bober, Niswanger, Stallings, Sampson
QB: 3
Croyle, Huard, Printers
RB: 4
L. Johnson, Bennett, K. Smith, Holmes
FB: 2
Grigsby, Gilbert Harris
TE: 3
Gonzalez, Wilson, M. Allen
WR: 5
Kennison, Bowe, Webb (KR), Hannon, Randolph (PR)
D-line: 8
J. Allen, Boone, R. Edwards, Hali
McBride, Tyler, Reed, Wilkerson
LB: 6
D. Johnson, Na. Harris, D. Edwards
Scanlon, Kershaw, Fox
S: 4
Page, Pollard, Wesley, McGraw
CB: 5
Law, Surtain, Sapp, Brackenridge, Patterson
= 53
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If you are watching a documentary with other people, there are times the narrator will make a declaritive sentence, and then pause.
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Maybe 10% of the time, it is a deliberate set-up, and after the pause, the narrator will say, "Or...were they?" and then go on to narrate some surprising event, like the Battle of the Bulge.
That means the other 90% of the time, you can insert an appropriate version of "Or...did they?" into the dramatic pause.
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One of the many things that pisses me off about the Taiwan independence movement is the immature and unnecessary hypocrisy. The Taiwanese tend to look down on China, seeing it as a place to enrich themselves at the expense of low-wage Chinese workers. They want to continue to avoid the disadvantages of being labeled a foreign country for business purposes, but then want all the advantages of being a foreign country in every other way.
I've made snarky comments about the Taiwanese blaming everything even remotely bad that happens on China, from economic difficulties to even weather (at times). The Taiwanese don't seem to realize that they give sovereignty to China by default when they see everything through the prism of China's influence.
Chen Shui-bian is one of the worst about this.
When China passed the Anti-Secession Law, Chen squawked like a chicken with anger...thus making it clear to everyone that he thought China's laws carried weight in Taiwan.
Dumb move.
Chen also makes a huge mistake by pushing so much for membership in the UN and getting in dollar diplomacy wars with the PRC for diplomatic recognition from otherwise unimportant nations.
Do any of the 24 nations that currently recognize Taiwan do anything for Taiwan's defense? No.
Taiwan exists as an autonomous semi-nation because of the support of Japan and the US, almost exclusively. Both these nations also have close working relationships with China...which means they also have reason to resent China on some levels.
That's what Taiwan should do: find other nations that resent China for some reason or another, or would enjoy sticking a thumb in China's eye (diplomatically or economically speaking), then gently point out that the world's two biggest economic and military powerhouses, the US and Japan, both support Taiwan while nominally recognizing China, and close with suggesting the nation in question follow the lead set by the US and Japan. Thus, the countries could still get access to China's markets...but their sympathies would slowly drift in Taiwan's direction.
It wouldn't have to be dollar diplomacy...just a clear explanation that an independent Taiwan is good for everyone's national and economic security.
Maybe Chen is doing that. But I doubt it. He cares more about domestic power than doing what is actually good for Taiwan. If it was clearly and obviously good for Taiwan to elect Ma Ying-jeou, Chen would still oppose it with his dying breath.
Final point: I support Taiwan's right to not get attacked by China for refusing to re-unite. I do not support the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), their platform, or their methods. They remind me way too much of the US' Democratic Party: power is the goal, the end justifies the means, and they'll say and do anything to get their hands on the reins of control. Including manipulating tragedy, distorting facts, exploiting their supporters, engaging in dirty last-second election tricks, and merely taking over corruption-filled leadership positions when they won the elction on the promise of ending corruption.
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The numbers on Priest Holmes:
Played 9 seasons, now age 33
108 games, rushes: 1734 yds: 8035 ypc: 4.6 TDs: 86
catches: 344 yds: 2945 ypc: 8.8 TDs: 8
3 straight seasons with 300+ carries, and slightly less than 400 touches overall.
There are many questions surrounding Priest Holmes' comeback attempt. Is Priest Holmes serious? Can Holmes make the team and contribute? Will he contribute? If not, is this Priest's scheme to grab some of the limelight? Or is this Carl Peterson's scheme to put pressure on Larry Johnson? Or is Priest just after cash?
Let's see if we can answer these questions, and more:
Is Carl Peterson using the situation to pressure LJ? It doesn't seem likely. Carl Peterson has always had a good relationship with Larry Johnson; moreover, it is unlikely LJ will need the pre-season carries, particularly after setting the record for carries last year. No, if Carl Peterson wanted to pressure Larry Johnson to cave on his contract demands, there are better ways. This is how he'd go about it: "Michael [Bennett] has had a good camp. He came into camp with the mind-set of wanting to be a part of the offense this year, whether RB Larry Johnson was here or not. And he needs to be a part of this offense. That's why we brought him in." But it wasn't Carl Peterson who said that, it was Herm Edwards, Head Coach of the Kansas City Chiefs. It sounds like Priest isn't part of the pressure package at all. In fact, since many fans and experts doubt that Priest Holmes can come back, doesn't that mean Priests' presence in camp shouldn't scare Larry at all?
Since CP doesn't seem to be running a squeeze play, then is Priest just reporting to camp to bask in the limelight of the Hard Knocks program? Again, it seems extremely unlikely. Priest has never been one to hog the spotlight. He doesn't give many interviews. He didn't take advantage of his brief span of rushing excellence to grab endorsement contracts. He did give an interview on July 29 that seemed rather self-aggrandizing, saying:
"I come to this team as a leader and I think 22 months off can say a lot. If I can make that comeback after 22 months off with the discipline of working and can make it and can continue on despite any obstacle, its going to prove so much to the team...I can sum it up this way: the sum of all parts is always greater as a whole. As individual parts theres only so much one can accomplish. So I believe to make this team a whole entity it takes several parts and one of them entails me coming back."
On the other hand, Holmes is a philosophical, idealistic guy. I'll come back to that interview in a second, because he revealed some other things that are important.
Is Priest just trying to get an injury settlement? Maybe. There is no way to know at this time; we'll see soon enough, but the answer to the next question should help answer this question in the negative.
Is Priest serious about coming back? I think the answer is yes. In the same interview, Priest also said:
"Nothing is done without risk. Risk taking is what has gotten most of you journalistsyou have to take some risks. Ive always been a risk taker. Theres no doubt I would not have been in the position Im in without taking some risk. That started a long time ago...I think the biggest thing youll see right now is the encouragement and the things I can give guys especially the young guy. To comeback is something anyone can do as long as they persevere...Im gonna tell you today that in order for me to come back its going to require discipline, hard work and determination. One thing thats always been said is that without struggle there is no purpose. I definitely will struggle in the next four weeks to come back to the level you need to get back into pads... But I would tell you when you have a vision and a purpose in mind and you can actually set a target anything can be accomplished."
That sounds like someone who is serious.
Moreover, despite the drama surrounding his "dream" to return to the NFL, he did say throughout 2006 he would return. According to the Wikipedia entry on Priest Holmes:
Throughout the 2006 season, Holmes repeatedly voiced that he would like to return for at least two or three more seasons in the NFL. He had stated however that he will not force a comeback in the event that it could be detrimental to his long term health. As of mid- October 2006 he was still reportedly considering a comeback attempt but has not practiced since 2005 and would have to be cleared by a doctor before he could resume practicing. (from a Fox Sports article, but they seem to have purged the article, the link points to a defunct page)
and:
Chiefs general manager Carl Peterson said that medical tests on Holmes have been encouraging and Holmes hopes to return for the 2007 season. On July 25, 2007, the day before the Chiefs were scheduled to leave for training camp, Priest Holmes asked the Chiefs if he could attend camp. Holmes has recently announced that he will be attending training camp for the 2007-08 season. (From From ESPN
Let's not forget, Priest came back from a serious knee injury in college. He also injured his knee with the Ravens. Then he came back from a serious hip injury that ended his season in 2002. Then he came back from another strained knee that ended his 2004 season. Now he's coming back from yet anther serious injury; this time off of 22 months of rest. Except for the last injury, he never showed any lasting effects from any of the injuries. I wouldn't bet against him.
Even if Priest is serious, can he make the team and contribute? Yes. There are significant numbers of RBs who play to age 33 and beyond. If you think about it, RBs have the same muscles, tendons, circulation system as anyone else, as any other player. It isn't age that makes RBs decline at age 30, but abuse. Priest has taken less hits than most, and far less hits than almost all RBs that played to age 33 and beyond. I started going through the list of NFL RBs, and I clicked on any player that had played in more than 100 games. Before I even got to the end of the "B"s, I found 12 RBs who played at age 33 or later:
RBs playing after age 33:
Richie Anderson, 35
Ottis Anderson, 35
Marcus Allen, 37
Kimble Anders, 36
Terry Allen, 33
Jerome Bettis, 33
*Woody Bennett, 33
James Brooks, 34
*Bill Brown, 36
*Norm Bulaich, 33
Keith Byers, 35
Earnest Byner, 35
I had never heard of the guys with the asterisks. They played in the pre-Terry Allen days when a knee injury meant Career Over. Sports Medicine has advanced light-years since the 70s, so I expect we'll see more and more RBs continuing to contribute into their 30s. It really seems as if age itself is no reason Priest can't contribute.
Can Holmes take a hit? Yes.
He's not fragile; he's a strong, muscular man in great shape. He won't snap if hit by a charging linebacker. Here's what Priest himself says about the issue:
"Definitely I can take a hit. Ill tell you I took the hardest hit when I was in high school. Being young and being tough and getting into an argument with a guy, one thing turned into another and he hit me with a bat across the head. I was down and came back If I can be hit in such a way theres none that can match it...With Dave Price, our head trainer, and our strength and conditioning coach, Cedric [Smith] theyre definitely going to help prepare me to be on the level that I need to be on in order to return and take any kind of hit.
Will Priest make it back and contribute? There's no way to know for sure until he does it. However, Priest has defied odds several times in his career. His strengths as a RB were vision and patience, not speed/power/explosiveness; those shouldn't fade with age, so he should still have those.
Personally, I'm thinking he will contribute. Priest is an idealist, and I think he would love leaving a more permanent legacy for the NFL. Despite setting TD records, despite being arguably the best all-around RB in the league from 2001-2004, despite showing a new way for RBs to excel, despite being #17 on the career TD list, and #2 on the active career TD list (behind LaDanian Tomlinson, according to my research...it's hard to find a current top-20 career TD list! I found one from 2002; Priest was #16 and the active leader according to that, but he has 94 total to LDT's current 111), he has no shot at the HoF at this point. However, as of the beginning of the 2006 season, there were only 6 players all time with at least 100 rushing TDs: Emmitt Smith, Marcus Allen, Walter Payton, Jim Brown, John Riggins, and Marshall Faulk; LDT was added by the end of his record-breaking 2007 season. If Priest could manage to get 25 more rushing TDs over 3 seasons, that would put him at #3 behind only Smith and Allen (depending on what Tomlinson ends up with when his career is over). That sort of legacy seems to motivate him more than money. Alternatively, he might want to come back and help win another Super Bowl. Combined with his string of comebacks and amazing TD and total yards performance from 2001 to 2005, either the TD total or another Super Bowl ring would probably be enough to get him in the Hall of Fame.
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Yes, the USAF does a great job safely killing targets you can fix and locate. They don't do so well with insurgencies and terrorists.
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I expected a conviction, and then for Ma to win on appeal (in Taiwan, you aren't really "convicted" unti you lose your 2nd appeal, the 3rd trial). Having him be acquitted in the first trial demonstrates how weak the case was.
Many prosecutors (some his Pan-Green opponents) said Ma should never have been indicted. Moreover, several Pan-Green politicians were acquitted or the prosecutor refused to indict for the exact same action/charge.
Reading a number of Green-leaning blogs (not just Mr. Turton's) and reading the Pan-Green media, one is given the impression that whatever the DPP does is good, and anything the KMT does is bad. The facts in a lawsuit can never actually be on the KMT side; thus any KMT victory in the courts can only be due to judicial malfeasance, bribed judges, etc. The only time justice is ever done is if the Pan-Green wins. (sigh)
Equating Ma's inadvertant financial accounting mistake with Chen Shui-bian's deliberate theft and cover-up (using not only his wife, but his wife using her friends to provide fraudulent receipts!) is just silly. Chen has half his family either in trial or convicted. If even just 1/10th of what has been revealed about Chen's dealings is true, he's one of the most corrupt politicians since Boss Tweed.
There are political hatchet jobs, and then there are people who treat politics like a spectator sport, complete with unreasonable loyalties and the logical blind spots that ensue. The Pan-Greens seem to have more than their share of blind partisans. Exaggeration for Effect Alert: Most of them seem to think that the best step to improve democracy in Taiwan is to not allow the late 40s immigrants, their descendents, and the military to vote.
Boy did you misread what I wrote! I'll be posting later today. The prosecution of Ma was of course political, like the prosecution of Chen -- as I have mentioned many times. But minds like yours read what they want to read.....
The only thing I linked you as saying was crying foul. The rest is an impression of not only your general themes in writing, but also those at Taiwan Matters and That's Impossible Politics from Taiwan.
The final sentence is admittedly exaggeration. But I've seen you make statements on your blog that indicate you seem to think that whatever Chen Shui-bian does for independence is automatically for democracy. That isn't necessarily the case.
I'll edit to clarify.
Other pan-green supporters and media make a big deal out of the 1 million signatures that Chen got for the referendum. Chen himself said he had no choice but to listen to such a large number. On the other hand, pan-green media and Chen feel no such compulsion to listen to the opinion of the 1 million signatures demanding Chen step down.
Why the assumption that the anti-Chen petition is the only one politically motivated? Why the assumption that only the Blues have a political machine? You and your fellow bloggers have strongly implied just those things, although you don't necessarily say it flat out.
You give Chen Shui-bian more support for defending Shih Ming-de than you give Shi Ming-de. Who gave up more for the cause of freedom in Taiwan? I'll give you a hint: his initials aren't CSB.
Why do you ignore the dirty tricks that the Pan-Green's use in every single major election? ...from a last second selectively-edited film designed to imply Blue vote buying to a faked sex tape (both helping the DPP to narrow victories in Kaohsiung), to an extremely suspicious assassination attempt that just happened to give Chen the excuse to prevent a huge block of military from voting.
I didn't get all that from one post, no. But from reading you (and other Green blogs and news media) off and on for more than a year.
I do accept as true with all of the ideas you have presented for your post. They're very convincing and can certainly work. Still, the posts are too short for newbies. May just you please lengthen them a bit from subsequent time? Thank you for the post.
The best part? They guard their plots like moonshiners or marijuana cultivators!
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Geez, I have no idea how many times I've restarted.
The point this time is to maybe try out some different Mercs.
The last few re-starts featured attempts to get Vince more quickly and not bother with Flo. It looks like the first is difficult to do, the second idea is a good one. You just waste too much time getting Flo up to speed, even as a trainer. She does eventually become equal to most of the others in level and Marksmanship, but only about the time you get to the Omerta/Meduna endgame.
Even then, she is still quite deficient in Health, Strength, Dexterity, Agility.
I think Shank may be worthless for the same reason. Dynamo is a good lock-picker, though, and picks up Marksmanship pretty quickly, so I'll let him stick around.
But I'm beginning to think it isn't worth it to recruit Miguel and Carlos. Sure, they're free...but by the time you take 5 villages, all that is left is Omerta and Meduna. Miguel is level 6, which is good, but only 88 Marksmanship. He also has good Leadership, but the village militias should already be all trained up. So what's the point. And Carlos is a Level 4 guy with Marksmanship in the high 60s and no significant redeeming strengths.
Whereas, I've learned that I like a number of different mercs. The problem is earning enough cash early in the game to have a credible force. But I've figured out how to do it.
"Freebie" mercs:
Yourself, Ira, and Maddog can all be obtained within the first 36 hours, with Dmitri by early day 3. If you get your own merc with martial arts, then he goes to San Mona to participate in the Ultimate Fighting bouts, and right after he wins one the first night, you send him down to Estoni (to increase in Level/Marksmanship on the way down, to pick up the bonus equipment like Compound 18 and bipods from Jake), and you can recruit Maddog then.
You get Vince after you get something like 30 militia trained in Cambria and a high loyalty percentage (I think 80%, but it may be 90%), usually after finding Joey in San Mona.
Then you have to stick with the hires until you can get Dynamo and Shank from Tixa.
For hires, I start off with:
Barry (need him for locks)
Igor and Buns (for combat ability while everyone else improves)
MD (To pair with Ira for training, and to give him a chance to start improving his Marksmanship early, and any healing if necessary)
Buzz (to get a longer range weapon, plus excellent combat ability, gives her an early chance to improve her atrocious Dexterity).
Buzz gets hired for one day. I used to hire Shadow and after I rescued Maria and win $15k from the bouts, I was able to extend his contract another 2 days, by which time I had enough to extend a week; by the end of the week (with a few extra Ultimate Fighting bouts and selling weapons), I could get him for long-term while still extending some of the other, cheaper mercs. But with Buzz, hiring her for one day is far cheaper than Shadow, and although I haven't done the math, it may be possible to get to the 2-week extended contract by day 2 or 3. That will just leave more cash for other hires.
I hire Igor, Barry and Buns for 1 week each; I get equipment for Buns and Barry, but Igor has to grab guns to arm himself.
With this set, there is enough to hire MD for a full 2 weeks; but it isn't worth it to purchase his equipment; you get enough med kits from Ira and the airstrip at Drassen.
As soon as possible, I hire Fox (keep her separate fro Buns!), Wolf, Spider, and Dr. Q.
Counting the freebies, that's already 14 of the 18 mercs you can have! So you can see that keeping Shank, Miguel, and Carlos fill up your slots with less useful, less fun mercs. I still haven't decided to dump Dmitri or not. His low Dexterity and forgetfulness is irritating...but his Marksmanship starts at a respectible 78, and he's good with throwing knife. I'll probably see how good he is by the time the numbers get tense.
I still want to try hiring Raven and Sidney. They have Wisdom in the high 70s, so they won't learn as fast as the others I try to hire (my original rule was: no hires of anyone with less than 85 Wisdom...but I ignored that rule for Fox because of her high Dexterity, training skill, and ambidexterity which made her deadly with two MAC-10s...but now Vince has all that, plus amazingly high Wisdom to help him rapidly overcome atrocious Marksmanship (starts in the 30s)). Their Marksmenship is good enough to not worry about their advancement speed.
That's 16.
But other mercs I want to hire include Shadow, Thor, Stephen, Colby, Danny, Victoria. I like Shadow. Danny is arrogant, but quick. Thor and Stephen are awesome, too. But that's 6 Mercs when I only have room for 2. Do I skip Sidney or Raven? Avoid Wolf? I thought of skipping Fox, just because she and Buns don't get along. Both Fox and Buns are weak, get tired easily. Buns is not as good with medical...but she starts good with guns, and is an Expert Trainer. I don't want to skip Fox because she and Wolf work well together, but thinking it through, I guess I'll have to. And then I'll have to choose one between Thor, Stephen and Colby. Victoria will probably wait to see if I want to dump Dmitri or not.
So without Fox, I can choose 3, and I guess it will be Danny, Shadow, and Thor. I'll report on who I hire as I do so. The money shouldn't be an issue, because in the last iteration, I had my Merc hires maxed out with at least 13 day contracts by Day 9. Money no longer becomes an issue at that point, because your mines outpace what you spend on contracts, especially with selling stuff and the fighting bouts. Before, money would be tight until Day 16 or so, sometimes Day 20. But I've got it worked out now. It's all about extending contracts before people level up.
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Let me set your mind at ease about one thing:
The guy absolutely is playing those solos. He is not doing air guitar. His finger movements are exactly what they need to be.
However, there is something about the video quality that makes me wonder if he didn't speed up the audio and video by some factor...10 or 20%? Digital technology would make it possible to do so without altering the tone of the music. But that move would puzzle me somewhat...what he does would be amazing even if it were 20% slower, so if he sped it up...why?
In any case, it's some nice technical playing. It doesn't demonstrate "feel", nor can the compositions be considered songs by any but the most relaxed of standards. They are merely Satriani-ish chord progressions designed to facilitate maximum shred.
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UPDATE: This guy clearly has lots of flemenco guitar training. Watch the point where his thumb just about vibrates to staccato pick, the full-string finger flutter. Those aren't the technical terms for the technique (because I don't know the terms), but that's what he does. He's a good finger-picker, as well.
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In this Editor's Note revealing that the "Surgically Altered iPhone Thumbs story was a satire, we find that the North Denver News serves a community of 35,000 people, but also likes to make editorial slams against Fox News.
That goes a little too far, in my opinion.
Now, I don't watch Fox News. I don't watch Fox News commentary. I don't go to the Fox News website. So I can't say exactly how "conservative" Fox News is.
But regardless of how conservative Fox News might be, it reports news as accurately as any other news media outlet. The focus of the stories might be different. The storied chosen might be different. But the report the news. The pundits are intelligent conservatives who help inform and shape conservative opinion. That might be a bad thing from a liberal perspective, but from a biased, liberal perspective only.
So how can a print news outlet justify printing an editorialization like this:
The Fox of course, is reference to Fox News (aka Faux News).
Even in an Editor's Note?
Brainfertilizer's Note to Liberals:
If you have to pre-emptively denigrate a competitor, you clearly don't have any confidence in your own product.
I live in North Denver, and the North Denver News shows up in my mailbox regularly. What you have to realize is that congressional district 1 (which is roughly the same area) is the same district that sent Pat Schroeder to D.C. for more than two decades, and will probably never elect a Republican or other conservative for anything.
In the last Congressional election, Diana DeGette (the Democrat) got 78% of the vote. The Green Party candidate got 21%. Everyone else split about 1%.
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For instance, their multiple editorial layers couldn't correct "conservative christen" ?!?! Not to mention that both of the sites he cited as "conservative christen" have never seemed to focus on faith at all, except perhaps as a tangent (criticizing the intersection between Islam and Terror, at least with the Jawa Report).
It just seems like he found some conservative-leaning sites he didn't like and looked for an excuse to slam them.
Still, like the title says, his links will still drive traffic. It's just, do you really think anyone coming over from Slate will listen to good, conservative sense?
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The only possible reason the author could think of that Hong Kong men prefer mainland Chinese women is that the mainlanders are more "subservient".
Hah.
Anyone who knows Chinese women knows that there is nothing subservient about them.
Here are the judgments about why Honk Kong women are remaining single rather than marry into the surplus of mainland men:
But she added that the career-mindedness of Hong Kong women may put off potential mainland suitors.
"In general," she said, "the work culture in Hong Kong has resulted in a greater proportion of women who are career-focused and independent, which may counter some of the expectations of mainland men."
Huh? It's the mainland Chinese men's fault? They just don't want a woman who makes money, even if she begs him?
Hong Kong women, on the other hand, are far better educated and more independent than their mainland counterparts and do not want to be bossed around by patriarchal husbands. Moreover, many of the city's women are financially independent and no longer think of marriage in terms of economic security. A rising divorce rate can probably also be attributed to the growing assertiveness of Hong Kong women.
Oh. Hong Kong women are just too assertive for mainland men. Mainland men are just too patriarchal and bossy.
As Bik-kei - a 32-year-old administrative assistant enjoying the single life - put it: "For single women who are financially secure with a good education, I feel the environment in Hong Kong allows us to live happily and stay single instead of being submissive to someone. Marrying a mainland guy, there is a possibility of family pressure, while parents might feel he has a lower social status.
And the truth accidentally slips out.
Social status.
Simply put, women keenly assess their own social status, and are usually only willing to marry into a higher social class. Outside of small towns where the selections are few, women only rarly marry someone of equal status, and never marry someone beneath them. It's not "assertiveness" or "bossiness" or anything. Deep down, for most women, men are means to an end: more material comfort than they can achieve on their own. And if the man cannot provide it, or she finds she can provide it on her own, the relationship is likely over.
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The Kansas City Chiefs announced on Monday that they had come to terms with their first round draft pick, rookie Dwayne Bowe out of LSU. His signing dispels some rumors floating around, namely that Bowes hold-out was related to the hold-outs of QBs Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell; Quinn just signed today and Russell remains unsigned.
Bowes absence from camp was big news; he was one of the last draft picks to sign a contract, and hes missed at least 200 offensive snaps according to Head Coach Herm Edwards. Worse, hell miss more snaps as he takes time to get in shape, because as Coach Edwards puts it, The first thing is to protect the player, Edwards said. You dont want to put him in a situation where all of a sudden something could happen. All football players, when theyre not here on time, what happens to them when they do get here and they get on the field, they automatically start competing at a high level. Thats not fair to himThese guys have their training camp legs under them and he does not because he hasnt been here. Herm further indicated Bowe would miss his first opportunity to get on the field for the Chiefs, not suiting up until the Chiefs play Miami on August 16th.
All this means Bowes development may be delayed. WRs dont usually contribute very much their rookie year, with a few exceptions like Anquan Boldin of the Cardinals or Maurice Colston of the Saints.
So if we cant depend on Bowe lighting it up for us this year, what does he bring to the Chiefs? It is obviously good to have your picks signed and practicing; but what will Bowe contribute this year and throughout his career?
Lets take a look at the WRs currently on the roster:
Kennison, Eddie 6-1 201
Parker, Samie 5-11 190
Webb, Jeff 6-2 211
Hannon, Chris 6-3 205
Gardner, Rod 6-2 219
Randolph, Ean 5-8 173
Bowe, Dwayne 6-2 221
Ekwerekwu, Brad 6-3 216
Little, Brent 5-11 193
Price, Maurice 6-0 197
One thing that jumps out is that last years starters, Kennison and Parker, are 20 and 30 pounds lighter, and slightly shorter. An inch or two might not seem like much, but football is a game of inches. And the extra weight is clearly muscle mass that will help Bowe win the physical battles against ball-hawking safeties and cornerbacks jams at the line that Kennison and Parker usually dont. Bowe gained a reputation for using his strength to break tackles after the catch.
Bowes height, weight, strength, and abilities are very similar to another guy already on the roster: Rod Gardner. But that doesnt make Bowe superfluous. On the contrary, even though Gardner is having a great camp, he didnt show much after joining the Chiefs last year. Rods been trying to revive a career that floundered after four decent seasons with the Redskins. But even if Gardner has revived his abilities, Bowe has much more upside than a 7-year veteran. In any case, there will be plenty of snaps for any wide receiver who produces. As Edwards said, when I look at starters those receivers to me are going to play in this system on a rotation [basis] with three or four of them. We want to keep them fresh. Having two players similar in size and technique able to rotate should only make the Chiefs offense more effective.
But what Bowe really brings to the Chiefs is the un-measurable ability to make something happen: 75% of Dwaynes catches at LSU went for first downs. Thats the sort of production the Chiefs could have used last January in the playoff game against the Colts.
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Good! Despite the rave reviews by fans, I'd even say "Surprisingly good!"
It has its flaws, of course. I'm halfway through the second episode, so I'm not totally sure the series has already decided to betray the "crew first, business second, nothing else matters" character they established for Capt Mal. But aside from that, the acting/dialogue is sometimes a little too overwrought. Kaylee is a little too cute, the "whore with a heart of gold" tries a little too hard to be sexy.
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Some wild guesses based on analysis of training camp reports:
CB:
Tyrone Brackenridge is getting plenty of time as the first-team nickel back. However, from reports it seems as if Justin Phinisee is making amazing play after amazing play. Is he inconsistent, playing well on play and getting burned the next? Or is he merely excelling against weaker competition. In any case, at this point it looks like he may make the team ahead of Michael Bragg.
Benny Sapp is also apparently stepping it up to make a case for being a fully-qualified corner, as opposed to his reputation as being a nickel package cornerback most suited to covering a smaller slot receiver or blitzing from the edge. He's small, yes, but other small CBs have done very well by excelling in coverage and leaping. If there is a knock on Sapp from the past, it is that he doesn't have good enough hands to guarantee a pick if he is in the right position. Successfully defending a pass is good, but missing out on a sure INT will hold you back.
Current guesstimate of depth chart:
Starters: Ty Law, Patrick Surtain
Back-ups (in order): Breckenridge, Sapp, Phinisee, William Poole
That would force the controversial move of cutting both Bragg and Maxey; both are young enough that they could improve...but unlikely to ever be solid starters.
WR:
This is a really tough position to evaluate. The QBs seem to be making mostly check-down passes, throwing mainly to the RBs and TEs. When the QBs do finally throw to the WRS, it seems as if nearly every player has made at least one excellent catch, and at least one disheartening drop. At this point, I'd say it is a near-complete toss-up.
Current Wild Guesstimate of depth chart:
Starters: Kennison, Webb
Back-ups: Hannon, Bowe (who just signed and may move up the chart), Gardner
Bubble: nearly everyone else, most of whom have made the "play of the session" at least once: Sammy Parker, Ean Randolph, Brad Ekwerekwu, Brent Little, Titus Ryan, Maurice Price; some of these guys will be kept on the Practice Squad in case Hannon or Webb can't make it in the actual game. In any case, the pre-season games will help establish the better players, as well.
FB:
There doesn't seem to be much focus on this group of guys in most of the training camp reports. From what I've seen, Wilson is being used more as an H-back than a FB, and Boomer Grigsby is catching every single pass thrown to him, including the bad ones.
Current guesstimate of depth chart:
Starter: Grigsby
Back-up: Wilson (in a dual role as back-up TE); if we do carry a back-up pure FB, it might be Hanoian...but it would seem easier to keep a FB on the practice squad and only bring one up to the 53-man roster in the case of injury or ineffectiveness. There's no reason to waste a roster spot on anyone beyond Grigsby (who has additional value due to Special Teams contributions) and Wilson.
LB:
The starters are set: Derrick Johnson, Napoleon Harris, and Donnie Edwards. The top back-up appears to be Keyaron Fox. Scanlon likely already earned a roster spot due to adequacy in a handful of replacement appearances last year, along with his ability to play all LB positions. William Kershaw seems to be taking the majority of snaps at MLB with the 2nd team. He hasn't stood out as doing exceptionally well, but hasn't been sub-par, either. Some have rookie FA Nate Harris penciled in as the 2nd string MLB, saying that he isn't taking the snaps due to an injury...but you can't make the team in the tub, particularly as an undrafted rookie. According to reports, Kendrell Bell has had one excellent play and a handful of sub-par performances to date; the rest of his snaps are likely mediocre. He may be falling off the depth chart. Nick Reid has made a few decent plays after excelling in NFL-Europe this past spring, but may lose out in a numbers game. It isn't impossible to make the team in your second year after being rejected the first, but it isn't likely.
Current guesstimate of depth chart:
Starters: Johnson, Edwards, Nap. Harris
Back-ups: Fox, Scanlon, Kershaw
RB:
The running game seems to be doing well despite the absence of Johnson, with all the players making a strong case for making the team by contributing big runs. If Priest Holmes demonstrates he's healthy and makes the team, it just makes the situation more complicated. At this point, the main point we can use to figure out who will make the team is fumbles. Both Michael Bennett and Kolby Smith have demonstrated the ability to be credible starters, although not stars.
Current guesstimate of depth chart:
Starter: Larry Johnson
Back-ups: Bennett, Smith, Holmes, Marcus O'Keith
Although carrying 5 RBs seems a little much, the balance may come from having only one FB (Grigsby), with Smith having the ability to be a feature RB, blocking FB, and blitz-protecting 3rd-down back who can create first downs in the passing game. If there isn't room on the roster, look for O'Keith to be placed on the Practice Squad. Sorry, Derrick Ross fans: his early fumbling problem will probably mean Ross gets his pink slip.
TE:
No surprises:
Gonzalez will start, Dunn will be first off the bench to block, and Wilson will be first off the bench to catch passes. We will see 2- and 3- TE formations at least a handful of times each game. Michael Allan hasn't shown enough to make the team at this point, although he seems like the perfect candidate for the Practice Squad to get more accustomed to the NFL level of competition.
QB:
It is anyone's guess. Brodie Croyle was putting a strong lock on the starting job up until the most recent scrimmage against the Vikings. But that scrimmage showed the difference between "practice" and "live", and may have demonstrated that Croyle isn't quite ready to out-perform Huard when it counts. But there's still time for Croyle to win the job outright, once the pre-season games get going. Thus, it is still anyone's guess at this point.
Current guesstimate of depth chart:
Starter: Croyle
Back-ups: Huard, Printers, and surprise Jeff Terrell makes the practice squad.
OL/DL:
Not much to report on the trenches. The drafted rookies are doing well enough to make the team. On the D-line, McBride will get considerable playing time, but Tyler currently seems stuck. In any case, the addition of Boone and the subtraction of Sims seems to have resulted in a good pash-rushing DL. There have been some problems against the run, perhaps...the pre-season games will make things clearer. The O-line depth chart is nearly exactly what you'd expect. There are two surprises: Kevin Sampson is the top back-up at RG, and Herb Taylor is battling to be the 3rd-string LT.
I won't make any guesstimates on depth chart at this time.
S:
Things are going just about how you'd expect. Page and Pollard are playing well and will start. Time has run out on Greg Wesley to stop making mental errors, yet still play with the physicality of his rookie year; he'll be the first guy off the bench. John McGraw seems to be doing fine, if unspectacular. Marlon Fair and Chad Williams are the likely cuts; Williams likely brought about the end of his Chiefs' tenure by being flattened by both Derrick Ross and Kolby Smith when he tried to tackle them. But there's plenty of pre-season left for jockeying around with the back-up depth chart. No guesstimate depth chart here, either.
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